Sunday, 21 March, 2010 8:45 PM AEST


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Stock of the week


Current

(TLS)

Protracted negotiations taking their toll

The longer negotiations with the government and NBN continue the greater will be the impact on revenue and earnings. Top line management is being distracted from the pressing issues involving three key operations - PSTN, Mobile and Sensis. In all three key areas revenue is under significant pressure making the achievement of margin guidance increasingly difficult. At present Telstra is seen as an easy target by competitors and they are collectively making inroads into market share. The accelerating decline in PSTN revenue caused TLS to miss both 1H10 revenue and earnings guidance and the downgrade to FY10 revenue guidance from low single digit growth to a low single digit decline. Mobiles, which was the largest single contributor to 1H10 group sales revenue, with $3.62bn representing almost 30% is also under pressure. Clearly TLS continues underperform in smartphones as Optus and Vodafone capture share by linking with the successful iPhone handset. Sensis revenue is also being pressured. Yellow ? revenue, which represented 57% of total Sensis advertising and directories revenue in 1H10, fell 4.4% and the downward trend is accelerating at least in part to Google aggression.
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Previous

(QAN)

Freight and economy traffic picking up

The airline industry warily upgraded its CY10 global forecasts due to passenger and freight demand recovering faster than expected. Air freight volumes have recovered about two-thirds of their fall. International economy passenger revenues have regained about half of their fall from the CY08 peak to be down by only about 10%.
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(WOW)

Margins to the fore

While 1H10 sales growth in Australian Food & Liquor (F&L) may have disappointed WOW restored confidence with NPAT at the upper end of expectations, a solid overall margin performance and a surprise $400m on-market share buy-back. Increasing sales and widening margins continue to drive earnings growth.
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(CSL)

Growing demand for plasma derived products

1H10 NPAT is up 23% to $617.4m and up 32% in constant currency, beating market expectations of $590m. The strong result led CSL to say it now expects the FY10 result to be at the upper end of its guidance, which using current exchange rates is expected to be between $970m and $1,070m.
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(CBA)

Dividend disappoints as CBA prepares for prudential reform

CBA reported 1H10 cash NPAT of $2,943m, up 39% on pcp and 15% on 1H09. The result was in line with the guidance of 15 January. Comparatives were proforma, assuming a full six-month contribution from BankWest in 1H09. EPS increased 46% on pcp, or 23% on 2H09, to 185.1c The interim dividend was 120c fully franked, up 7c.
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