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Focus on cash flow, not earnings: Epoch

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Investors should focus on companies with “free cash flow” and good capital allocation rather than following an accounting-based model, according to Epoch Investment Partners.

Epoch chief executive William Priest said accounting ratios such as price to earnings, price to book and reversion to the mean are “complete nonsense” and that investors should instead use a cash flow process. 

Mr Priest defines free cash flow as the “cash available for distribution to shareholders after all cash taxes and capital expenditures”.

“If you want to understand how a business works, follow the cash,” said Mr Priest. “If you can’t follow the cash, there’s usually a reason and that’s that they don’t want to tell you how it works.”

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Mr Priest said that with a background in accounting, he knows it is possible to “violate any accounting principles and make earnings into anything you want”. 

“Accounting is like a bathing suit: what it reveals is interesting but what it conceals is vital,” he said. 

He believes this is because there are a lot of assumptions in accounting. 

“There is a big difference between cash and earnings,” Mr Priest said. “I never worry about quarterly earnings reports; I worry [about whether there are] good capital allocators and what is happening to final demand in the business.”

Epoch Investment Partners has an alliance with Grant Samuel Funds Management, a funds management firm specialising in the marketing of managed funds to Australian institutional and retail investors.