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Super sector closer to $2.7tn: Rice Warner

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Changes to APRA’s accounting standards suggest that the superannuation sector is closer to $2.7 trillion than the $2.5 trillion reported in the regulator’s latest statistics.

Due to a change in APRA's accounting standards (specifically, AASB 1056 Superannuation Entities), total assets in the September edition of the prudential regulator's quarterly superannuation performance statistics jumped $200 billion to $2.5 trillion.

"This [accounting change] makes employer sponsor receivables (particularly for public sector funds) recognised as an asset on fund balance sheets," according to industry consultant Rice Warner.

"Essentially this means that c. $180 billion of unfunded public sector liabilities are now included in the APRA statistics."

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But because the change was backdated to September 2016 and appears to be net of Future Fund assets, the size of industry liabilities could arguably increase by a further $200 billion.

"The size of the public sector superannuation benefits nearly double when taking these liabilities into account and the sector’s average balances increase to about $203,000," said Rice Warner.

This would mean the size of superannuation industry size benefits now totals $2.7 trillion, said Rice Warner.

"Our new projections show the superannuation industry will grow to $4.3 trillion in 2032 (in 2017 dollars). On its way to reaching 180 per cent of GDP in the 2040s," it said.